What a Major Oil Discovery in the Andaman Sea Could Mean for India and the Islands

India currently imports around 85–86% of its crude oil needs, making energy security a persistent vulnerability. A domestic reserve of the size hinted at, comparable to Guyana’s estimated 11.6 billion barrels, could reduce this dependence and provide a long-term cushion against geopolitical and market volatility.

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Sri Vijaya Puram, June 17: A potential oil discovery in the Andaman Sea is generating fresh optimism in India’s energy sector. Union Minister for Petroleum and Natural Gas Hardeep Singh Puri recently indicated that the country could be nearing a breakthrough that rivals the scale of Guyana’s game-changing reserves. If such a finding materializes, it could significantly alter India’s energy landscape and carry wide-ranging implications for the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

India currently imports around 85–86% of its crude oil needs, making energy security a persistent vulnerability. A domestic reserve of the size hinted at, comparable to Guyana’s estimated 11.6 billion barrels, could reduce this dependence and provide a long-term cushion against geopolitical and market volatility. It would also support India’s broader ambition to become a $20 trillion economy, with energy independence acting as a key enabler.

The Andaman Sea, situated to the east of the island chain, has long been considered geologically promising. State-owned firms like Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Oil India Limited are leading current exploration efforts, supported by recent government reforms aimed at attracting investment. These include the Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OALP), which allows companies to bid for blocks without waiting for a formal bidding round, and a move from production-sharing to revenue-sharing contracts, which simplifies the regulatory framework. According to Minister Puri, these changes are beginning to yield results, with exploratory surveys and seismic imaging now pointing to what he called “green shoots” of hydrocarbon potential.

If confirmed, a discovery would mark a turning point not just for India but for the Andaman and Nicobar Islands themselves. The islands could become a hub for oil-linked infrastructure, creating new employment opportunities for local communities in drilling, logistics, marine support, and related sectors. Economic activity would likely spur investment in ports, roads, housing, and training centers, especially in locations like Campbell Bay or Car Nicobar. Local businesses could also benefit from increased demand for services such as hospitality, food supply, and transport.

A major oil discovery in the Andaman Sea could trigger a substantial transformation of the local economy in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. Traditionally reliant on tourism, fisheries, and government employment, the islands could see the emergence of a new industrial ecosystem driven by energy exploration and logistics. Job opportunities would likely expand across sectors such as drilling services, transport, construction, and supply chain support, offering new avenues for skilled and semi-skilled local workers. Ancillary services, including housing, food supply, and vessel maintenance, would also benefit from increased demand. In the longer term, oil-linked investments could spur infrastructure improvements, from upgraded ports and roads to more reliable power and communication networks, enhancing overall economic resilience. However, careful planning would be essential to ensure that local communities, especially indigenous groups, are not left behind in this shift.

However, such development would need to be managed with sensitivity to the region’s ecological and social fabric. The islands are home to unique marine ecosystems and indigenous tribes with constitutional protections. Any expansion of oil-related activity would have to comply with stringent environmental and social safeguards to avoid long-term damage or displacement.

It is important to note that while expectations are rising, no official declaration of a commercial discovery has yet been made. The coming months of drilling and analysis will be crucial in determining whether the optimism is matched by geological reality. Even if reserves are confirmed, production would take several more years to commence. Further clarity is also expected through the proposed Oil Fields Regulation and Development Amendment Bill, which aims to streamline regulatory approvals and reduce bureaucratic overlaps.

In sum, the possibility of a major oil discovery in the Andaman Sea presents India with a rare opportunity to strengthen its energy independence and unlock new economic potential in a strategically important region. For now, it remains a story of exploration, but one that could soon rewrite the economic and strategic map of India’s eastern frontier.